Seeing Is Believing
A Note from Cliff Sellery
Our ‘Case Studies’ are meant to give you perspective.
We refuse to have you believe that, simply by subscribing to SellerySignals, you’ll be on your way to fame and fortune. If you believe that, you won’t be an investor for long.
Successful investing is more about creating and maintaining a good batting average than trying to swing for the fence every time. The baseball player that hits the long ball but whose batting average is only 195 is not going to stay in the big leagues, while the guy that averages 310 year after year, even without many home runs, will not only maintain his position on the roster but end up in the Hall of Fame.
In my Institutional Consulting days, I reviewed thousands of Mutual Funds. One of the biggest questions I got from the Boardroom was why I didn’t bring them ONLY those funds in last year’s top performance percentiles. I instead showed them that the fund in the 25th percentile EVERY YEAR always ended up in the TOP percentiles over time because of its consistency. The risks it took to be in the top percentile were often the same risks that pulled it to the bottom, and often with devastating results.
Consistency and perseverance are the attributes that make a successful investor—the understanding that failure is a part of success, not the opposite of it—and that failure is NECESSARY to hone your skills and focus your endeavor.
Our case studies are a reminder that you will have losing trades. But continue to focus on establishing that solid batting average based on hits and not home runs. Take a diversified approach, with some low and negative correlations, where the Signals can be spread over lots of opportunities and watch them work.
And between fame and fortune, we’re only hoping you bat 500.
With around 18,000 investment funds (ICI), 5,000 publicly traded companies, currencies, and indexes, there are literally thousands of investments you can monitor with SellerySignals. Here, we've provided you a visual understanding of how the trading signal performs when laid over securtities with varying personalities. Use this Case Study to understand how the signal reacts to different security's price action over the same time horizon.
Historic statistics including rates-of-return are calculated using the weekly closing price and are adjusted for dividends, stock splits, and corporate actions. Past performance does not guarantee or represent the potential for future returns. Statistics may be distorted when viewing a time horizon shorter than one year. Trading commisions, brokerage fees and advisory fees are not accounted for.