The Blog

Wisdom Over Knowledge


Posted on February 24, 2018

    2/23/18 The VIX “Successful investing is much more about emotions than intellect” is a quote I’ve used a lot over my 40+ years in the business.  Keeping one’s emotions in check is key to calm execution of your written plan. ...

    Intermarket Technical Analysis

    Posted on January 26, 2018

      1.26.2018 Why will the SPY actually fall in the coming months? Short answer: intermarket tech. analysis confirms it. Long answer: start reading Intermarket technical analysis has two rules of thumb to begin our analysis with. Price...

      Let's Talk Duration.

      Posted on January 26, 2018

        Let’s talk duration. First, as a portfolio manager you need to make 1 out of 3 trades profitable to grow a portfolio on a reasonable basis. If SellerySignals stops you out +/-3% after a downturn, we need a +12% trade 1 out of 3 times to grow at...

        How High is Too High? 1.16.18

        Posted on January 16, 2018

          ​How high is too high? Are the charts looking a little parabolic? A little unsustainable? Am I getting a little anxious? A little emotional? These are questions adderessed by 'behaviorial finance' and a portfolio manager should be WELL ACQUAINTED...

          Walmart and Netflix: Subjective vs. Objective Trading Strategies

          Posted on October 17, 2016

            The goal of today's blog is simple: Define the difference between Subjective and Objective Technical Analysis. †This is a short argument to drive home the fact that we believe objective technical analysis is a more powerful tool than Subjective forms...

            Forex 3 Major Pairs

            Posted on September 27, 2016

              A technical, tactical, trend following trading signal for Forex.†

              FX Commodity Pairs

              Posted on September 14, 2016

                Each image†represents a 3-year chart. †Returns are only half the story-- be sure to look at the risk metrics via Max†Drawdown etc.†

                Forex Charts

                Posted on September 07, 2016

                  Let's make one thing clear; our first Forex blog will not be fundamental!† I look at these charts and remember why I'm a technician. Our currency blog of August 24, encourages us to look for confirmation in other charts before we take a position, or to...

                  The Dollar Impacts The Economy In Many Ways

                  Posted on August 24, 2016

                    The Dollar impacts the economy in many ways.  A rising Dollar makes US exports more expensive thus pressuring the earnings of companies that do so.  A rising Dollar makes commodities less expensive as that same Dollar buys more of a measured...

                    Japan's Stimulus Won't Work. Here's Why.

                    Posted on July 27, 2016

                      This morning an article from Bloomberg was published speaking of Abeís new plans for more stimulus1.† The country has been through numerous attempts of stimulus in the last few years in order to revive its ever-present deflationary economy. Granted, itís...